However, the category is likely game, set and match for Smith, who has already racked up the BAFTA, Critics Choice, Golden Globe and SAG Award wins for his performance as Richard Williams, the eminently determined father of tennis legends Venus and Serena.
(Not for nothing, it was his first professional singing performance ever.) Of the three deservedly-nominated biopic performances in the category this year - the third, obviously, being Bardem, who deserves his own shine for his portrayal of Desi Arnaz - it's Garfield who I think was tasked with the biggest challenge, and soared even higher above it with his portrayal of Rent scribe Jonathan Larson. Actor in a Leading Roleīenedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dogĭenzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth Ultimately, given the breakthrough performances and moving storytelling, I wouldn't be shocked to see the film make history on Hollywood's biggest night. Director Sian Heder's Sundance darling - a coming-of-age story about a child of deaf adults learning to balance her family's livelihood with her own aspirations - has garnered big wins for supporting star Troy Kotsur and even a well-deserved trophy for Outstanding Cast at the recent SAG Awards. The first woman ever to be nominated for Best Director twice, the New Zealand-born filmmaker is likely to secure several of the night's biggest prizes, including Best Picture, for her adaptation of Thomas Savage's 1967 novel about grief, jealousy and sexuality on an early 1900s Montana ranch, which has already been lauded by the BAFTAs, Critics Choice Awards and Golden Globes - basically, everyone but Sam Elliott.īut if there's an upset brewing here, it's likely to be CODA. Jane Campion's tough-worn Western drama has seemed to be the one-seed from the start, with powerful acting, stunning cinematography, and a great story in Campion's triumphant return to the Oscars after nearly 30 years. It's fitting that this year's Oscars ceremony - once again delayed, though not as late as last year - is taking place in the middle of the NCAA March Madness tournament, because the Best Picture category has turned into a bit of a Cinderella story. While awards season is doing its best to return to normal this year, there's no telling exactly how the ever-changing favors of Academy voters may shake out - but here's some of our best guesses. So, who will win? Here are ET's predictions for the 2022 Oscars, based on who's been winning with the guilds, the BAFTAs and other precursor awards shows, as well as the ebb and flow of recent film trends. The top films of the year span the cinematic spectrum as well, including a Western, a musical, a star-studded satire, a horror-noir, a Japanese road film and a handful of heartfelt family dramas, leaving voters with some big decisions to make when it comes to the Academy's biggest prizes. While not quite as chaotic as last year's pandemic-altered releases, this year still offered an interesting mix of theatrical blockbusters, acclaimed streamers and some combination of the two (thanks, HBO Max!).
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